The expert predicts that Putin will not accept a ceasefire deal on Ukraine
The author of “Playbook's Playbook” joined “Fox & Friends First” to discuss the reason for her belief in Putin's approval “in principle on the ceasefire, and what a document that leakes Putin's plan can reveal the long term in Ukraine.
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President Trump's envoy Steve Witkevv visited Moscow to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin To discuss the ceasefire Trump in Ukraine on Thursday. While the White House has not yet commented on the meeting, the Russian media reported that it had happened late on Thursday and that Putin had sent a “message” to Trump via Witkov.
During a press conference on Thursday, Putin thanked Trump for his efforts to end the conflict in Ukraine and said he was “on” the idea but “there are precise differences.” In a seven -minute and 30 -second letter, the Russian powerful man has set a list of issues related to the conclusion of the ceasefire for 30 days, including the difficulties in verifying possible violations. Before Putin's speech, Presidential aid Yuri Oshkov, speaking of Russian national television, ruled out the temporary ceasefire, describing it as “some steps that have been imitated peaceful activities.” Putin has indicated that he wanted to make a phone call with President Trump.
Zelenskyy criticized Putin for being a “very manipulative” and accused Putin “in reality to prepare rejection. At the end of last month, Trump Zelinski criticized his announcement that the peace deal was “very far”, describing it “the worst statement” and saying, “America will not bear for a longer period!”
Trump's art in war: winning without a fight
Russian President Vladimir Putin speaks during a joint press conference with the Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko after their talks at the Great Karimin Palace in Moscow, Russia, on Thursday, March 13, 2025. (AP Photo/Alexander Zemlianichenko)
But Zelinski is right – peace in Ukraine is far. Putin is unlikely to accept President Trump's current peace plan. This is the reason.
Trump is famous for his tireless ethics, and Trump calls for his employees to accomplish things at record speeds, or “at Trump's time”, as Peter Navarro, chief adviser to the president and the main architect of Trump's doctrine in his best -selling book, described it.
It is understood that Trump wants to maintain his promise to his campaign and stop bloodshed on European land quickly.
Vladimir Putin, left, and Volodimir Zellinsky, right (Reuters/AP)
But with all the respect and accomplishments of President Trump, Russia's position is very complicated. Russia has a very different strategic culture from Western culture. Putin is a completely different type of animals from anyone who has been dealt with before. Russian thinking, and its relationship with time, is embodied in a well -known saying: “The more you go slowly, the more you get it.”
First, as Trump said, correctly, during the press conference, Putin “has all the cards.” and Vladimir Putin Not in haste. He wants to end the war but only according to its conditions, which, if the United States accepts, will help Washington.
On March 6, Putin has publicly excluded any concessions to Ukraine. He said in a speech broadcast on Russian national television: “We do not need anything that belongs to others, but we will not give up what is ours.”
Putin believes he can call the shots. Despite the unreasonable (and Ukrainian) losses, Russia is able to withdraw this war for years. In fact, Putin has developed his strategy since he became president, a quarter of a century ago. His army and economy were in full wartime and Russia resisting the punishment seven years before Ukraine invaded in February 2022. This is why the Russians have largely rejected Trump's threat to “large -scale” sanctions. “Speaking with Russia from the position of power and threats to sanctions is a path to any place,” said the representative of the state from the Crimean Peninsula, Yuri Nesternko.
Additional penalties are unlikely to change Putin's decision. They haven't done so yet, despite the fact that Washington was trying to strangle Moscow for a decade. The severity of US sanctions on Russia tops the sanctions that were placed on Germany in Hitler during World War II. The Russians believe that there is nothing that Trump can do for Biden's sanctions.
In this photo presented by the National Police of Ukraine, firefighters are working to extinguish a fire after a Russian attack on a residential building area in the town of Uman, 200 km (125 miles) south of Kyiv, Ukraine, on Friday, April 28, 2023. (The National Police of Ukraine via AP)
To neutralize the impact of future US sanctions, Putin has canceled foreign currency reserves in Russia, strengthening the sovereign wealth fund to the highest level ever, and launched a program to import to stimulate the production of the indigenous population, reducing Russia's dependence on imports. Moscow also stood a fleet of shadow tankers to continue oil exports, secret.
Second, Oshkov's refusal of Trump's suggestion of temporary ceasefire is not surprising. Putin indicated several times that a temporary break in the fighting was not contained He does not want to give a strategic pause to Ukraine, Europe or the United States, to re -arms. In June, speaking at the Foreign Ministry, Putin said that temporary peace “will not work with Moscow, as opponents will use the freezing of the conflict to renew Ukraine's combat losses and weapons deficit.”
In fact, Russia, on an equal footing, is now producing more weapons in three months of the entire NATO alliance in one year, according to NATO Secretary -General Mark Root. Putin also increased the armed forces in Russia over the constitutionally allowed size, to ensure that Russia could fight until the end of the Ukrainian.
A convoy of pro -Russia forces move along a road in Mariolpol, Ukraine, in April 2022. (Reuters/Qingis Condarov)
Ukraine outperforms the appropriate capabilities to combat war, which encourages Putin to continue what he started, with the aim of full surrender to Ukraine.
Third, there is a series of legal obstacles that Moscow and Kiev must solve before signing any deal. None of the signs of preparedness appeared to solve it. Even when they agree to do so, it will take some time. Things in Ukraine and Russia do not occur in the time of Trump.
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Putin ruled out negotiation with Zelenskyy, after telling State Rossiya 1 that “Zelenskyy) had no right to sign anything,” after he called the Ukrainian leader “illegal”. In fact, the presidential term Zelinski ended in May.
At the end of February, the Ukrainian parliament rejected the US calls to the elections by passing the decision to exclude the elections during the war period, noting the martial law, according to the Ukrainian constitution. On February 5, Zelenskyy agreed to the extension From martial rulings until May 9.
President Donald Trump, the oath, meets with Ukrainian President Folodimir Zellinski at the White House in the White House on Friday, February 28, 2025 in Washington. (AP Photo/ Mystyslav Chernov)
Moreover, in October 2022, Zelinski banned negotiations with Putin by a presidential decree, after it announced that Ukraine would only negotiate with “another president of Russia”. Even if the legal quagmire is resolved, organizing and holding the elections will take time.
If there is a peace plan for Ukraine to be achieved, then this will certainly not be achieved at the time of Trump, but most likely at the time of Putin.
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There is no defect if Trump fails to solve the mystery of Russia, Ukraine, at Trump's time. Shame on Biden and Obama, whose neglected policies brought Russia and Ukraine to shaved each other. Trump inherited the giant geopolitical chaos, which was years in making.
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