What are Putin's options after the United States offering a ceasefire proposal in Ukraine?


It was after 21:00 on Tuesday night in Moscow when US Secretary of State Marco Rubio set The Ukrainian and American suggestion for a 30 -day ceasefire with Russia.

By Wednesday noon, the Kremlin seemed still weighing their response to the proposals.

Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova refused to be attracted to details, saying that “the formation of the position of the Russian Federation (will be) will take place within the Russian Federation.”

Speaking on behalf of Karimin Dmitry Peskov roams the case. “Let's do not advance ourselves,” he said, adding that Moscow was “recognizing itself” with the joint statement issued in Jeddah.

There are reports that American envoy Steve Whitchv can travel to Moscow on Thursday, and Peskov said the press would remain aware. Other than this, there was no comment from the Kremlin.

There is no doubt that President Vladimir Putin is carefully considering whether the ceasefire proposal, rejection, or demand amendments will be accepted.

The idea of ​​rejecting – or amending – the ceasefire proposal appears to be acquired most of the traction between the two commentators.

“If (Putin) accept the American proposal, this will lead to a dangerous situation,” Bondit, supporter of the Valentian and Putin's assistant Sergey Marcov, told the BBC, on the pretext that the Russian army is currently having the upper hand on the confrontation line.

There are also fears that Ukraine can use a month -old ceasefire to renounce it, so Russia may offer some circumstances, such as demanding the end of the western offer of weapons to Kiev.

Markov told the Russian media: “The situation must be that during this period, the siege on weapons supplies must be presented to Ukraine … Europe must support the ceasefire in Europe, not in words, but with procedures,” Markov told Russian media.

If the proposal accepts, Mr. Markov suggests that public opinion may be a factor. He told Russian society, “Warning from the war,” he told Russian society.

While it is true that Some recent investigative studies An increasing percentage of the Russian population appears in favor of holding peace talks with Ukraine, it is unclear that public opinion will have any impact on Putin's decision.

Another possible way for Russia is to accept the ceasefire and then blame any violations of Ukrainian “provocations”, hoping to discredit Kiev in Trump's eyes.

After Russia seized the Crimea in 2014, many attempts were made to carry out a ceasefire between Moscow and Kiev. They all failed.

If this attempt is working, it will be unprecedented.

Away from the silence of the Kremlin, the announcement of the ceasefire proposal – the most detailed of its kind since the beginning of the Moscow war on Ukraine – has publicly discussed in the Russian media.

In some cases, there was joy about what they saw as Ukraine folding the demands of the United States, as he argued by Komsomolskia Pravda that the White House was “wandering completely” Kiev.

“They heard from Ukraine exactly the words they wanted to hear,” Daily newspaper said.

However, the overwhelming feeling between many Russian commentators and legislators is one of the doubts, especially in light of the United States’s decision to resume sending KYIV intelligence and weapons.

Representative Victor Sobolif said that the temporary ceasefire will only play in the hands of the Ukrainians because it will allow them to “re -assemble their ranks within 30 days, renew their ranks and be renewed with drones.”

There was also a boost to highlight the victories of the Russian army in the Kursk region, which Kiev has occupied since last summer – and to show that Russia has the upper hand in the battlefield.

On Wednesday morning, the pictures of the Russian soldiers who were restored to their blacks – the largest city managed to seize the Kursk region – were everywhere on Russian TV channels and popular Telegram channels, accompanied by praise for the “bold” work of the Moscow forces.

“The real conditions of negotiations are now created by our heroic men – along the confrontation line,” said Daily Moskovsky Komsomolite.

Regardless of gossip, the final decision – as is always in Russia today – will rest with Vladimir Putin.

It is, like Trump, is essential in this deal. “We do not rule out the need for a phone conversation at the highest level,” Peskov said on Wednesday morning.

Some Russians may think that this is a favorite Trump as well.

“With his own acceptance, he only concludes a deal with” the president. “

“This means that there will be no deals with” difference “,” actors “and” envoys “. The potential deal cannot be only between Putin and Trump.”

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *